TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 2, 11:38 AM EST
Predict
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used. This market is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA or any participating teams. Any references to FIFA or related events are for informational purposes only.
Prediction market odds on Predict often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed bookmaker lines. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and build in wider margins, while prediction markets reward accurate forecasters with direct payouts. For England squad selection, prediction markets may react faster to injury news, managerial statements, or performance shifts during qualifying and friendlies. Comparing Predict odds to major sportsbooks can reveal where the crowd sees value or disagreement, though both venues ultimately depend on the same underlying information about player form and selection criteria.
On Predict, 2026 World Cup: Player to make England Squad contracts are priced between 0 and 100 based on the probability that a given player will be named in England's official squad. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares reflecting their belief in squad inclusion; the price at any moment represents the collective market estimate of that likelihood. As new information emerges—such as injuries, international performances, or managerial comments—prices adjust dynamically. The top outcome currently tracked is whether Harry Maguire will be included, with prices shifting as the 2026 tournament approaches and squad decisions become clearer.
The 2026 World Cup: Player to make England Squad market resolves on Jul 20, 2026, aligned with England's official squad announcement for the tournament. Resolution is determined by whether each named player appears on the final roster published by the Football Association. Markets for individual players settle independently based on the official squad list; inclusion resolves to YES, exclusion to NO. This timing allows traders to position themselves right up until the squad is formally confirmed, capturing all late-breaking news and managerial decisions that influence final selections.
Key catalysts for 2026 World Cup: Player to make England Squad odds include international match performances during qualifying and friendlies, injury announcements or recoveries, managerial statements about squad plans, domestic club form and injuries, and tactical shifts in England's approach. Player age and fitness milestones matter significantly; a player's club status or transfer activity can also influence selection odds. Media speculation and pundit commentary often precede official squad news, moving prices as consensus builds. Finally, competitive pressure from rivals and England's own tournament performance expectations may prompt the manager to adjust squad composition closer to Jul 20, 2026.