TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer
polymarket

World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer

Volume:
$2,476,537

France

 - Polymarket

France - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 20, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

France

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$230,365
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Switzerland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$795,699
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Argentina

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$207,885
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,096
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

England

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,714
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Morocco

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$103,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Norway

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$97,783
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Germany

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$87,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ivory Coast

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$75,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Belgium

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Brazil

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,734
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Portugal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,989
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Croatia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$57,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Colombia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$52,766
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Egypt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,688
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

USA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,213
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Netherlands

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mexico

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,670
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Canada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,927
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Sweden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,978
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ghana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$19,748
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Senegal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Japan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,964
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uruguay

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,954
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Ecuador

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,433
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 54

Intro

This market tracks which nation's player will finish as the top goalscorer across all matches at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. On Polymarket, France is priced at 98.5% to produce the tournament's leading scorer, while Argentina stands at 1.4%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA records, with tiebreakers applied according to penalty kick conversion and alphabetical ordering of surnames if needed. Watch for the final tournament standings by August 20, 2026, when the World Cup concludes and the top goalscorer is officially confirmed.

Polymarket

This market resolves to the nation represented by the player who finishes as the top goalscorer across all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the nation represented by the player who scored fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the nationality of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is no leader declared within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The 2026 FIFA World Cup: Nation of Top Goalscorer dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which nation's player will finish as the tournament's leading goalscorer. The dashboard displays current market prices, 24-hour volume of $84,879, and cumulative trading volume of $2,476,537 across all outcome contracts. Users can monitor price movements, historical odds charts, and liquidity depth to understand how the market is pricing each nation's chances as the 2026 tournament approaches.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-time crowd sentiment and continuous trading rather than fixed lines set by oddsmakers. Sportsbooks typically adjust odds less frequently and incorporate their own margin, while prediction markets aggregate thousands of individual traders' beliefs. For the 2026 World Cup top goalscorer market, comparing Polymarket prices to major sportsbooks can reveal whether the crowd is more or less bullish on specific nations than professional bookmakers, offering traders an edge in identifying mispriced outcomes.

The market resolves on Aug 20, 2026, after the 2026 FIFA World Cup concludes and the official top goalscorer is confirmed by FIFA. Resolution is determined by the player who scores the most goals across all tournament matches. In the event of a tie in goals, FIFA's tiebreaker criteria—typically assists, then minutes played—determine the winner. The winning outcome contract resolves to 1 USD, while all other nation contracts resolve to 0 USD, and traders' positions settle accordingly.

Key catalysts include major player injuries or retirements that weaken a nation's attacking depth, international friendlies and qualifying tournaments that showcase form and goal-scoring prowess, and squad announcements closer to the tournament. Transfer market activity—particularly high-profile strikers moving to elite clubs—can shift perception of player fitness and confidence. Coaching changes, tactical shifts, and group-stage draw outcomes will also influence market pricing. As the tournament approaches, early matches and goal-scoring performances will drive rapid repricing, with hot-streak players and underdog nations potentially gaining odds as the market reacts to live evidence.