TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.9b
24H VOL:
$225,546,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,867,230,198
490,493
Markets across
36,414
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,838
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
East of Eden: Limited Series
- Kalshi
East of Eden: Limited Series - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Oct 20, 2026
Closed: Oct 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which Netflix show will rank second in viewership in the United States during a specific week. It reflects viewer preferences and trends in streaming content consumption over that period. The outcome depends entirely on audience engagement metrics reported by Netflix for the designated timeframe.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the Netflix Top 10 US Show chart published on October 20, 2026, which reflects viewing data for the week ending the previous Sunday. Markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart's publication. Each market corresponds to a specific show, and the one that appears in the #2 position on that chart will cause its respective market to resolve to Yes, with all others resolving to No. No endorsement from Netflix is implied, and all references are used descriptively. The timing aligns with Netflix's weekly chart update schedule, ensuring resolution reflects real-time viewer behavior for that week.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the predictions from this market to those of entertainment analysts. However, the collective wisdom of traders on Kalshi often provides a different perspective than individual forecasts. If analysts widely expect a particular show to perform well, but volume concentrates on a different outcome in this market, it could indicate disagreement or the potential for an upset. It's important to remember that analysts’ predictions are often based on pre-release hype and critical reception, while this market reflects real-time viewership data.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether a show will be the #2 US Netflix show. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price will fluctuate based on new information and the collective actions of all participants, creating a dynamic assessment of the likelihood of each show reaching the #2 spot.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the #2 US Netflix show for the relevant week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on publicly available viewership data from Netflix, as reported by trusted sources that track streaming performance. The market will settle to 100 if the show held the #2 spot, and 0 otherwise. Traders should monitor reporting leading up to the resolution date to stay informed.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. A surprise hit show launching on Netflix could quickly draw volume and shift the odds. Positive or negative critical reviews, particularly from influential sources, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected scheduling changes by Netflix, or major marketing pushes for specific shows, are other potential catalysts. Finally, any news regarding viewership numbers for competing shows could cause traders to reassess their positions in this market.
