TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which film will rank second on the US Netflix movie charts for the week ending Sunday, October 11, 2026, as published on Tuesday, October 13, 2026. Participants speculate on whether specific movies will achieve this chart position based on viewer engagement over the preceding week.
Kalshi
The event determines which movie occupies the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on October 13, 2026, reflecting viewer viewership for the week ending the previous Sunday. All markets resolve based on this singular ranking, with each market corresponding to a specific film. The Netflix charts update every Tuesday, and all markets close at 11:59 PM ET the day before the chart publication. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the event operator; references to Netflix are purely descriptive. Resolution depends solely on the official Netflix chart data for the specified date.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each movie being #2. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the #2 most popular movie on US Netflix will be determined by official viewership data released by Netflix or a reputable third-party source tracking streaming statistics. The resolution will reflect the movie that held the #2 position for the majority of the week leading up to the resolution date, as determined by these verified sources.
Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Unexpected critical reviews, viral social media campaigns, or major marketing pushes by Netflix for a particular film could all influence viewership. A surprise release date change or the addition of a popular actor to a movie’s promotional tour could also create movement. Furthermore, the release of competing films on other streaming platforms or in theaters could impact the relative performance of movies on Netflix, and therefore affect this market.
