TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Arthur The King
- Kalshi
Arthur The King - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Aug 17, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which film will rank second on Netflix's US movie charts for the week ending the Sunday before August 18, 2026. Participants speculate on the popularity of various films during that specific period, reflecting viewer preferences and streaming trends.
Kalshi
The event determines whether any of the listed films will occupy the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 US Movie chart published on August 18, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific film, and resolution depends solely on the official Netflix chart for the week ending the previous Sunday. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before August 18. No endorsement or affiliation with Netflix is implied; references are purely descriptive. The outcome for each market is binary—Yes if the designated film ranks exactly #2, No otherwise—with all evaluations based exclusively on the publicly available chart data.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set the price through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for contracts representing the possible outcomes. The current implied chance reflects the balance of these orders, showing how the market collectively evaluates the likelihood of each movie claiming the #2 spot. This dynamic pricing adjusts instantly with new information or shifts in trading volume.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The official Netflix rankings for that week will determine which film placed second in U.S. viewership, and the market will close based on that data. No subjective judgment is involved — the result is drawn from publicly available viewership statistics.
Key signals that could shift this market include weekly Netflix viewership updates, major social media buzz around competing films, critical reviews or award nominations that drive viewer interest, and any last-minute promotional campaigns that boost view counts. Unexpected surges in streaming activity or controversies surrounding certain titles can also cause rapid price changes as traders react to new data.
