TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Earrings - Malcolm Todd
- Polymarket
Earrings - Malcolm Todd - Polymarket
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 18, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 18, 12:24 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled September 18. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled September 18 by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled September 18. Songs will be primarily ranked by order on the specified chart. If two or more songs are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled September 18 by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, the prevailing sentiment in this market suggests a high probability for “Loser - Tame Impala” being the #2 song this week. It’s interesting to compare this to music industry analysts’ predictions, which often rely on streaming data, radio play, and social media buzz. While analysts may identify potential contenders, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, potentially revealing insights that traditional analysis might miss. Discrepancies between prediction market odds and analyst forecasts can highlight differing perspectives on a song's momentum and staying power.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the market price adjusts to reflect the collective intelligence of the crowd. Currently, the market indicates a strong consensus around one particular song, but this can change rapidly based on new information or shifts in sentiment. The price movements are driven purely by supply and demand within Polymarket.
This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Spotify charts for the week are published and the #2 song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official ranking provided by Spotify, and the market will settle to 100% for the song that holds the #2 position on the chart. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome, based on the definitive source of truth for the Spotify charts.
Several factors could influence the odds in this market before Sep 18, 2026. A sudden surge in streams for a competing song, driven by viral social media trends or new playlist placements, could significantly shift the probabilities. Unexpected news related to the artists involved, such as a major performance or controversy, could also impact listener behavior. Furthermore, changes in radio airplay or the release of remixes could all serve as catalysts for movement in this market. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding potential shifts in the crowd’s assessment.
