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#2 song in the US this week? (July 24)
polymarket

What will be the #2 song in the US on Spotify for July 24?

Volume:
$3,823

Earrings - Malcolm Todd

 - Polymarket

Earrings - Malcolm Todd - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 24, 2026

Closed: Jul 24, 1:24 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Earrings - Malcolm Todd

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Billie Jean - Michael Jackson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$281
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

I Knew It, I Knew You - Taylor Swift

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Janice STFU - Drake

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Wonderwall Remastered - Oasis

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$237
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Drop Dead - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$233
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$171
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

the cure - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$134
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 18

Description

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled July 24. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled July 24 by July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Polymarket

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled July 24. If Spotify does not release its #2 song for the week labeled July 24 by July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the US #2 song market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which song will rank as the number-two track on the US Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of July 24. The dashboard displays current market prices, historical price movements, and trading volume for the US #2 song market. Traders use this data to monitor shifting sentiment about which track will claim the second position, with odds updating continuously as new trades execute. The platform aggregates all buy and sell orders to establish a live probability estimate, helping participants assess the likelihood of each potential outcome before the chart is officially released.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional music analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money stakes and crowd wisdom rather than expert opinion alone. While music journalists and chart analysts may rely on streaming data, radio airplay, and sales trends, this market aggregates the collective judgment of traders betting on the actual outcome. Analysts sometimes underestimate or overestimate momentum shifts that traders price in immediately. Comparing the current odds here to published predictions from chart forecasters can reveal where the crowd sees value or risk that mainstream analysis may have missed, making this market a complementary signal to conventional expert commentary.

This market resolves around Jul 24, 2026, once the official US Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of July 24 is published and verified. The outcome is determined by which song officially ranks in the number-two position on that chart, confirmed against credible public reporting from Billboard. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based on publicly available chart data, eliminating ambiguity about which track qualifies as the #2 song for that specific week.

Several factors can shift odds in this market before the chart releases. Major streaming spikes, viral social media moments, or unexpected radio playlist additions can boost a song's momentum and move trader sentiment. Chart performance of competing tracks—especially the #1 and #3 songs—directly influences which song lands in second place. Celebrity endorsements, award show performances, or surprise music releases can reshape the competitive landscape. Additionally, real-time streaming data leaks or industry chatter about chart positioning often trigger repricing. Traders monitor all these signals closely, adjusting positions as new information emerges about which track will ultimately claim the #2 spot.