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404,175

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#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 6, 2026?
kalshi

#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 6, 2026?

Volume:
$22,241

Choosin' Texas

 - Kalshi

Choosin' Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 2, 2026

Closed: May 31, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Choosin' Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,432
N/A
N/A
$6,725
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Janice STFU

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,654
N/A
N/A
$3,786
Settled
No
kalshi

Billie Jean

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,128
N/A
N/A
$6,128
Settled
No
kalshi

BE HER

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
$306
Settled
No
kalshi

2 Hard 4 The Radio

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$240
N/A
N/A
$240
Settled
No
kalshi

Drake's MTC

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$147
N/A
N/A
$147
Settled
No
kalshi

Ran To Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$58
Settled
No
kalshi

Shabang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Whisper My Name

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Dust

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

National Treasures

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

B’s On The Table

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Burning Bridges

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Make Them Remember

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Plot Twist

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

What Did I Miss?

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$53
N/A
N/A
$53
Settled
No
kalshi

Man I Need

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

I Just Might

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Ordinary

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Risk It All

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Folded

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

STATESIDE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Golden

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

The Fate of Ophelia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 32

Intro

This market tracks which song will hold the number two position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart during the week of June 6, 2026. On Kalshi, "Choosin' Texas" commands 86.0% probability as the leading outcome, according to the platform's assessment. Resolution will be determined by the official Billboard Hot 100 rankings released for that chart week, with the final outcome confirmed by June 10, 2026.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money consensus from traders betting on chart outcomes, whereas music industry analysts and chart forecasters rely on streaming data, radio airplay, and historical chart patterns. Prediction markets often incorporate information faster than traditional forecasts, as traders respond immediately to new releases, playlist placements, and cultural moments. However, analyst predictions from music publications and chart tracking services provide complementary context based on industry relationships and proprietary data. Comparing Kalshi odds with major music forecasters can reveal where trader sentiment diverges from expert opinion on which song will claim the number-two spot.

The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 6, 2026 is published. The outcome is determined by which song officially ranks at position number two on that chart. Billboard's methodology incorporates sales, streaming, and radio airplay data collected during the tracking week. Once the chart is released and verified, the market settles based on the actual number-two position, and winning traders receive their payout while losing positions expire worthless.

Several catalysts can shift odds for the number-two position. Major new music releases or surprise drops from established artists can disrupt chart expectations and redirect streaming and sales volume. Viral social media moments, TikTok trends, or celebrity endorsements can accelerate a song's momentum. Radio station playlist additions or removals influence airplay counts, a key chart component. Chart performance of competing songs in the top ten affects relative positioning. Streaming platform algorithm changes or promotional campaigns can boost visibility. Industry news such as artist controversies or collaborations may impact momentum. Real-time streaming and sales data releases throughout the tracking week provide traders with updated signals to reassess probabilities before the final chart publication.