TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026?
kalshi

#2 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the Week of Jun 27, 2026?

Volume:
$17,663

Choosin' Texas

 - Kalshi

Choosin' Texas - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 23, 2026

Closed: Jun 21, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Choosin' Texas

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$6,070
N/A
N/A
$4,854
Settled
Yes
kalshi

stupid song

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,755
N/A
N/A
$2,646
Settled
No
kalshi

drop dead

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,326
N/A
N/A
$1,250
Settled
No
kalshi

hate that i made you love me

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$985
N/A
N/A
$985
Settled
No
kalshi

begged

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$626
N/A
N/A
$626
Settled
No
kalshi

Shabang

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$348
N/A
N/A
$348
Settled
No
kalshi

Janice STFU

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$250
N/A
N/A
$250
Settled
No
kalshi

I Knew It, I Knew You

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$153
N/A
N/A
$150
Settled
No
kalshi

BE HER

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

I Just Might

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Man I Need

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

So Easy (To Fall In Love)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

the cure

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Ran To Atlanta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Risk It All

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Boston

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Folded

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

STATESIDE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Billie Jean

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

National Treasures

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

EARRINGS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

I CAN'T LOVE YOU ANYMORE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

Whisper My Name

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

honeybee

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
kalshi

expectations

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
$50
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 31

Description

A song will rank at the second position on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 27, 2026. Multiple songs are tracked across this outcome.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the official Billboard Hot 100 chart published for the week of June 27, 2026. The market resolves to Yes if any of the specified songs achieves the #2 ranking on that chart. Billboard charts are based on contemporary hit radio airplay, sales data, and streaming activity. This market is not endorsed by Billboard and references to Billboard and the Hot 100 are descriptive only.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader sentiment and often diverge from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on streaming data, radio airplay projections, and historical chart patterns, prediction markets aggregate the collective judgment of participants with financial incentives to forecast accurately. Comparing Kalshi odds to published predictions from music publications and chart analysts reveals whether the market is more bullish or bearish on specific songs. These differences highlight where expert opinion and market-based probability estimates diverge, offering traders valuable perspective on consensus versus contrarian positioning.

On Kalshi, the #2 position for the Billboard Hot 100 chart week of June 27, 2026 is priced as a set of binary or multiple-outcome contracts reflecting the probability each song reaches that rank. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move based on trader activity, new music releases, streaming momentum, and real-time chart performance signals. Each outcome contract trades between 0 and 100, with the price representing the market's implied probability. As the resolution date approaches and more chart data becomes available, prices adjust to reflect updated expectations about which track will ultimately claim the number two spot.

The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026, after the official Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week of June 27, 2026 is published. The outcome is determined by which song officially ranks at number two on that chart according to Billboard's methodology. Billboard calculates rankings using a weighted formula that combines sales, streaming, and radio airplay data collected during the tracking week. Once the chart is finalized and publicly released, the prediction market settles based on the definitive number two position, and winning positions are credited accordingly.

Several factors can shift odds for the number two position. Major new music releases from established artists or surprise drops can dramatically alter chart dynamics. Streaming surges driven by viral social media moments, playlist placements on major platforms, or celebrity endorsements impact a song's momentum. Radio airplay increases or decreases influence chart position. Chart performance of competing songs—especially movements of the number one track—can create ripple effects for the number two spot. Industry news, award show performances, and unexpected chart debuts all provide new information that traders incorporate into their pricing, causing real-time odds adjustments as the resolution date approaches.