TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$129,159,707
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,442,132,418
404,744
Markets across
30,489
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,691
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love
- Kalshi
you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Sep 13, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks which album will secure the second-highest position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week ending September 19, 2026. Each market focuses on a different album, reflecting anticipation around popular music releases and consumer listening trends during that specific timeframe.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the Billboard 200 chart ranking for the week of September 19, 2026. For any given market, if the specified album appears exactly at the #2 position on the official Billboard 200 chart for that week, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets explicitly state that Billboard has not endorsed these products, and any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive, indicating no formal affiliation or endorsement by Billboard. The outcome depends solely on the chart position of each album as officially published by Billboard, with no additional conditions or qualifications affecting resolution.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to analyst forecasts for this specific event, as reliable pre-release album chart predictions are often subjective and vary widely. However, this market provides a quantifiable measure of collective belief, aggregating the insights of many individuals. If analysts are consistently predicting a particular album to reach #2, we might expect to see its price on Kalshi decrease (and probability increase) as traders act on that information, or vice versa. This dynamic reflects the wisdom of the crowd.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different albums achieving the #2 position. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the latest collective assessment. The market is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an album will reach #2, they will buy contracts, driving up the price and decreasing the implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 19, 2026, is published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The album listed at #2 on that chart will determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official chart ranking released by Billboard, and any disputes will be handled according to Kalshi’s standard procedures for verifying publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Major album release announcements, pre-sale figures, streaming numbers, critical reviews, and even social media buzz surrounding potential contenders could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected events, such as a surprise album release from a major artist or a significant marketing campaign, could also cause rapid price movements. Any news that alters perceptions of an album’s popularity or commercial potential will likely be reflected in the trading activity on Kalshi.
