TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 6, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which album will secure the second-highest position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. The outcome depends on chart performance, reflecting listener preferences and sales data for that specific week.
The event determines the album that ranks #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific album, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that album occupies the #2 position on the specified chart week. All markets share identical secondary rules, clarifying that Billboard has not endorsed these markets and that any references to Billboard or its associated marks are purely descriptive. The resolution hinges solely on the official Billboard 200 ranking published for that week, with no additional conditions or affiliations implied beyond chart position verification.
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of public excitement and betting patterns rather than pure industry projections. Analysts may highlight sales trends, marketing pushes, and chart history, while traders price in real-time sentiment and perceived momentum. When forecasts diverge, this market can signal unexpected shifts in consumer interest or media coverage that experts might initially underweight.
This market resolves around Sep 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the Billboard 200 chart for the week of September 12, 2026, is officially published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The ranking will be determined by standard chart methodology, and the market will close based on that authoritative listing.
Key signals include major album releases or re-releases close to the chart week, high-profile media coverage, streaming service promotions, and any last-minute chart-eligible sales surges. Awards, controversies, or social media trends involving competing artists can also shift trader sentiment. Weekly chart previews or early sales data may cause short-term volatility, especially as the September 12 window approaches.