TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 24, 2026?
kalshi

#2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Oct 24, 2026?

Volume:
$253

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

 - Kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 19, 2026

Closed: Oct 18, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Mud

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$248
N/A
N/A
$62
Settled
No
kalshi

The Life of a Showgirl

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N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DANDELION

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

I'm The Problem

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N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Great Divide

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

POPSTAR

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

SILVER SANDS MARINA

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

The Art of Loving

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Stick Season

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N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

ICEMAN

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

One Thing At A Time

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

SOS

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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

PRIMA

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

That's Just Me

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

HABIBTI

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

hungover

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

Number Ones

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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

Palace for the People

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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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No
kalshi

She's the Best

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

Short n' Sweet

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
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No
kalshi

THIS & THAT

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N/A
N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
kalshi

Thriller

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N/A
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N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Visitor

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N/A
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—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

NO ME ARREPIENTO DE SENTIR TANTO

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N/A
N/A
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
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Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Description

This set of markets tracks which album will secure the second-highest position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week ending October 24, 2026. Each market focuses on a different album, reflecting anticipation around popular music releases and consumer listening trends during that specific timeframe.

Kalshi

These markets resolve based on the Billboard 200 chart ranking for the week of October 24, 2026. For any given market, if the specified album appears exactly at the #2 position on the chart for that week, the market resolves to 'Yes.' If the album appears at any other position, including #1, lower rankings, or does not chart, the market resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, meaning the outcome of one does not affect the others. Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its charts are used descriptively, not as an endorsement or affiliation. The resolution depends solely on the official Billboard 200 chart published for the relevant week.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the current odds of various albums reaching number two on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of October 24, 2026. You’ll find the implied probability of each outcome, along with a price history showing how these odds have shifted over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $0, and total volume traded to date, which is $253. This allows you to see which albums are attracting the most attention and where traders are placing their bets in the Billboard 200 chart race.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for this market. While many analysts rely on pre-release singles, streaming data, and artist popularity, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a broader range of factors and potential surprises. It’s common to see discrepancies between expert predictions and the collective judgment expressed through trading volume. This difference can highlight overlooked albums or shifts in public sentiment that analysts may not have fully accounted for when considering the Billboard 200 chart race.

This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart rankings for the week of October 24, 2026, are published and verifiable from credible public reporting. The album listed at number two on that chart will determine the winning outcome. Trading will cease prior to this date, allowing for final price discovery before the official results are released. This provides an opportunity to capitalize on any last-minute shifts in expectations regarding the Billboard 200 chart race.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major album releases in the months leading up to October 2026 will be key, particularly from established artists or those generating significant pre-release buzz. Unexpected shifts in streaming numbers, radio play, or social media engagement could also move the odds. Furthermore, any major news events surrounding artists or albums – such as controversies or positive critical reception – could influence trading activity. Changes in consumer spending habits or broader trends in music consumption could also play a role in determining the final outcome of the Billboard 200 chart race.