TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
DANDELION
- Kalshi
DANDELION - Kalshi
1W
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Positive
Negative
Neutral
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Vol.
·
Resolved Jun 16, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: Jun 14, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
An album ranks at the second position on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the week of June 20, 2026. Various artists' releases are eligible for this outcome.
Kalshi
If ARIRANG is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If BIG MAMA is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Cry Baby is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DANDELION is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Dinner Party is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If DO THAT AGAIN is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If EI8HT is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If GRATEFUL is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If HABIBTI is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I Built You A Tower is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If ICEMAN is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If I'm The Problem is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If LEMONADE - The 2nd Album is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If MAID OF HONOUR is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Number Ones is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If OCTANE is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If One Thing At A Time is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If PUREFLOW pt.1 is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sanctuary is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If SOS is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stick Season is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Great Divide (The Last Of The Bugs) is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Art of Loving is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Thriller is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If TRON Ares: Divergence is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If What A Time is #2 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jun 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect aggregated trader expectations and often diverge from traditional music industry analyst forecasts. While analysts may rely on pre-release hype, radio airplay projections, and historical artist performance, prediction markets incorporate real-money incentives that reward accuracy. Comparing Kalshi probabilities to published forecasts from music publications and chart analysts can reveal where the market sees different outcomes. Market odds tend to update faster as new sales data and streaming metrics emerge closer to the chart week.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, the #2 Billboard 200 outcome for the week of June 20, 2026 is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting trader consensus on which album will occupy that chart position. Prices range from 0 to 100, where higher prices indicate stronger market belief in that outcome. Traders buy and sell contracts based on their conviction about album performance, streaming numbers, and sales velocity. The price discovery process on Kalshi incorporates all available information up to market close, creating a dynamic probability estimate for each competing album.
This market resolves on Jun 24, 2026, after the official Billboard 200 chart for the week ending June 20, 2026 is published. The outcome is determined by Billboard's official ranking methodology, which combines album sales, streaming activity, and other tracked metrics according to their standard weighting formula. Once Billboard releases the definitive chart, the #2 position is identified and the market settles accordingly. Resolution depends entirely on the published chart data from the official source.
Several catalysts could shift market odds for the #2 position before June 20, 2026. Major album releases or surprise drops from established artists could reshape competition. Streaming milestones, viral social media moments, or unexpected radio support can accelerate an album's trajectory. Chart performance from the preceding week may signal momentum. Tour announcements, award nominations, or high-profile collaborations can boost visibility and sales. Retail promotions and bundle strategies also influence chart positioning. Real-time sales data leaks and streaming updates in the final days before chart publication typically drive the most significant probability movements.
