TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 18, 2026
Closed: Aug 16, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This set of markets tracks which album will secure the second-highest position on the Billboard 200 chart for the week ending August 22, 2026. Each market represents a different album, and participants speculate on which one will achieve this ranking based on sales, streaming, and other chart-determining factors.
Kalshi
These markets resolve based on the Billboard 200 chart ranking for the week ending August 22, 2026. The outcome for each market is determined by whether the specified album ranks exactly #2 on the chart for that week. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. Billboard has not endorsed these markets, and any references to Billboard or its charts are used descriptively to indicate the standard by which outcomes will be judged. The markets cover a diverse range of albums across various genres and release timelines, allowing participants to speculate on the relative popularity and chart performance of each listed album for the specified week.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, odds from this market often reflect a blend of quantitative data and trader sentiment. Where analysts may weigh long-term album quality or artist popularity, prediction markets incorporate real-time betting patterns and can react faster to breaking news or social media trends. This creates a dynamic contrast — analysts provide curated opinions, while this market offers a crowdsourced probability that can diverge based on immediate public interest or surprise events.
This market resolves around Aug 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Billboard 200 chart for the week of August 22, 2026 is published and verified against credible public sources. The ranking will be determined by standard chart methodology, and the market will close based on the final, publicly available chart data.
Several signals could shift this market before it closes — major album releases, unexpected chart rulings, high-profile artist promotions, streaming service exclusives, or sudden shifts in consumer listening trends. Any news that impacts weekly album sales or streams may cause rapid price changes, as traders adjust odds based on the latest information affecting the competitive landscape for the Billboard 200’s second position.
