TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 19, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which Netflix show will rank second globally during a specific week, based on the platform's official viewership charts. It reflects viewer preferences and trends in streaming content consumption over a defined period.
Kalshi
All markets resolve based on the Netflix Top 10 Global Show chart published on October 20, 2026, which reflects viewership for the week ending the previous Sunday. The markets will close at 11:59 PM ET on October 19, 2026, as Netflix updates its charts on Tuesdays. Each market corresponds to a specific show, and resolution depends on whether that show occupies the #2 position on the specified chart. None of these markets are endorsed by Netflix, and any references to the platform are used descriptively without implying affiliation or endorsement.
Frequently asked questions
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for this specific event. However, generally, prediction markets often incorporate a wider range of information and real-time sentiment than typical analyst predictions. This market reflects the collective wisdom of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than individual expert opinions regarding which show will achieve the #2 global ranking on Netflix. It will be interesting to see if the final outcome aligns with either approach.
This market resolves around Oct 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the #2 global Netflix show will be determined by official Netflix rankings data for the relevant week. The market will settle based on which series holds that position according to Netflix’s publicly available data. The resolution will reflect the most accurate and widely accepted ranking available at that time.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Major announcements regarding new series releases on Netflix, particularly those with high anticipated viewership, could shift the odds. Changes in critical reception or social media buzz surrounding existing shows could also influence trading activity. Unexpected events affecting production schedules or marketing campaigns could also play a role. Any data suggesting a shift in global viewing trends on Netflix is likely to move this market as traders adjust their forecasts before Oct 20, 2026.
