TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Turning Point: Generation 9/11
- Kalshi
Turning Point: Generation 9/11 - Kalshi
1W
News
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 8, 2026
Closed: Sep 7, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which movie will rank second on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending the Sunday before September 8, 2026. Participants speculate on whether specific titles will achieve this ranking based on viewer engagement over the specified period.
Kalshi
The event determines if any of the listed movies occupies the #2 position on Netflix’s Global Top 10 Movies chart in the week ending the Sunday before September 8, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific movie title, resolving to 'Yes' if that title ranks exactly #2 on the officially published chart dated September 8, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix updates its charts every Tuesday, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the preceding Monday. The published chart reflects viewership data from the week ending the previous Sunday. None of these markets imply endorsement by Netflix; references are used descriptively and do not suggest any affiliation between Netflix and the event operator.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence differs from expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional media predictions or individual analyst rankings. While analysts may focus on critical reception or star power, this market reflects what people are actually watching. Discrepancies can arise from factors analysts might overlook, such as viral social media trends or unexpected audience appeal. This provides a unique gauge of potential success beyond conventional metrics.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different movies being the most watched, and the price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, indicating higher perceived likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market efficiently aggregates information from a diverse range of participants, creating a real-time assessment of the most probable outcome based on available information and expectations. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market stays responsive to new developments.
This market resolves around Sep 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the most watched Netflix movie for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on official viewership data released by Netflix or a similarly reputable source tracking global streaming statistics. This ensures an objective and transparent resolution process. Traders should monitor news and data releases leading up to the resolution date to stay informed about potential catalysts that could influence the outcome.
Several signals could significantly move this market. Major marketing campaigns launched by Netflix for specific movies, positive or negative critical reviews gaining traction, and viral social media buzz are all potential catalysts. Unexpected cast appearances or controversies surrounding a film could also shift sentiment. Furthermore, the release of competing content on other streaming platforms might influence viewership patterns. Monitoring these factors and any official announcements from Netflix will be crucial for understanding potential price movements in this market.
