TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
A streaming service releases its weekly viewership rankings for film content globally on a specific date in mid-June 2026, focusing on the second-ranked movie.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional entertainment analyst forecasts because markets incorporate real-time trader sentiment and betting activity. While analysts may rely on historical viewership patterns and studio marketing spend, prediction markets aggregate diverse opinions from active participants. This can result in faster price discovery when unexpected Netflix releases or viewership trends emerge, making market odds a complementary signal to published analyst predictions for entertainment outcomes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, #2 Global Netflix Movie this week is priced as a binary or multi-outcome contract reflecting the implied probability that a specific title ranks second globally on Netflix during the reference week. Prices move based on real-time trading, Netflix viewership reports, and release schedules. Traders buy or sell contracts at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the spread between bid and ask reflecting market liquidity and uncertainty around which film will claim the second position.
The #2 Global Netflix Movie this week market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. Resolution is determined by Netflix's official global top 10 rankings for the specified week, which measure viewership across all regions. The outcome identifies which film holds the second position in Netflix's published metrics at the resolution timestamp. Traders should monitor Netflix's weekly announcements and any official clarifications on ranking methodology to understand how the final outcome will be determined.
Key catalysts include Netflix's weekly viewership reports, surprise releases or marketing pushes by the platform, and real-world events affecting film popularity. Strong opening weekends for competing titles, celebrity news tied to cast members, and changes in global internet access or streaming habits can all shift the ranking. Additionally, Netflix algorithm updates or regional viewing surges in major markets may alter which film lands in the second position, creating trading opportunities as new information surfaces before Jun 9, 2026.