TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 26, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which movie will rank second on Netflix's global movie chart for the week ending on the Sunday before October 27, 2026. Participants can speculate on whether specific films will achieve this position based on viewership trends and release schedules.
Kalshi
The event determines the second-highest ranked movie on Netflix's Global Top 10 Movies chart for the week ending the Sunday before October 27, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific film, resolving to 'Yes' if that film occupies the #2 position on the officially published chart dated October 27, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix updates its charts on Tuesdays, so trading will close at 11:59 PM ET the Monday before the chart publication date. No endorsement or affiliation exists between Netflix and the platform hosting these markets; references to Netflix are purely descriptive. The outcome for each market is binary, based solely on the final chart ranking.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals how collective intelligence stacks up against expert opinions. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional polls or media predictions. If analysts widely expect a certain movie to perform well, but the market odds suggest otherwise, it could indicate that traders have access to information or insights not yet reflected in those forecasts. Discrepancies can arise from differing methodologies or the market’s ability to incorporate a wider range of factors influencing the outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the #2 Global Netflix movie will be determined based on Netflix's official rankings for the relevant week. The resolution will reflect which movie held the second-highest position on Netflix’s global top 10 list during that period. The outcome will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the result of this market.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. Major marketing campaigns or critical reviews for upcoming Netflix releases could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding production delays or changes in release schedules could also impact the odds. Furthermore, the performance of currently released movies, particularly their viewership numbers and social media buzz, will likely influence trading activity. Any significant shift in public attention or critical acclaim could lead to substantial changes in the probabilities reflected in this market.
