TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 12, 11:59 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks which film will rank as the second most-watched movie globally on Netflix during a specific week. Participants speculate on audience viewing trends to predict the outcome, reflecting shifting viewer preferences and content popularity over time.
Kalshi
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified movie appears in the #2 position on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart published on October 13, 2026. All markets share identical secondary rules: Netflix charts update on Tuesdays, so markets close at 11:59 PM ET the preceding Monday. The October 13 chart reflects viewing data from the week ending the previous Sunday. None of these markets imply endorsement by Netflix; references are purely descriptive and not indicative of affiliation between Netflix and Kalshi.
Frequently asked questions
Comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights into collective wisdom versus expert opinion. Often, this market demonstrates a different perspective than traditional media predictions or individual analyst reports. While analysts may focus on critical reception or star power, the market incorporates a broader range of factors, including social media buzz and viewing habits. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access or biases, offering a unique view on the likely outcome of which movie will be the most viewed on Netflix globally this week.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the most-watched Netflix movie globally for the week is verifiable from credible public reporting. The determination will be based on official viewership data released by Netflix or a reputable third-party source tracking global streaming statistics. The market will then settle to 100 for the winning movie and 0 for all others, reflecting the actual result of which movie garnered the most views during the specified period.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before its resolution date. A major marketing push from Netflix for a particular movie, positive or negative critical reviews, and strong social media trends could all influence trading activity. Unexpected cast appearances or viral clips related to a film could also shift the odds. Furthermore, any news regarding subscriber numbers or viewing habits on Netflix could impact how traders assess the likelihood of each movie becoming the most popular globally this week, leading to price fluctuations.
