TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?
polymarket

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on May 29?

Volume:
$9,362

Claude by Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Claude by Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Claude by Anthropic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google Gemini

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,243
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$961
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

CapCut: Photo & Video Editor

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$615
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Instants, an Instagram app

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$392
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App A

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 20

Intro

This market tracks whether Claude by Anthropic will rank as the #2 free app on the US iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by checking the official Apple App Store's Top Free Apps chart in the United States under Top Charts at 12:00 PM ET on May 29, 2026. Watch the app's performance trajectory as the May 29 resolution date approaches to see if it maintains its position in the top rankings.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on May 29, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official US Apple App Store rankings on that date, specifically whether Claude by Anthropic appears in the #2 position within the free apps category. The outcome is verified against Apple's published app store data at the time of resolution. This event captures a single snapshot in time, making it a discrete, verifiable outcome tied to a specific date and ranking metric.

Key catalysts include major Claude product releases or feature updates that drive user adoption, competitive launches from rival AI assistants, media coverage and viral moments, seasonal app store trends, and changes to Apple's ranking algorithms. Marketing campaigns, integration partnerships, and word-of-mouth momentum can rapidly shift download volumes. Competitor actions, such as price changes or new functionality, may also influence relative rankings. Traders monitor these signals to adjust their positions on Claude's path to the #2 position by May 29.