TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Entertainment
#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?
polymarket

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 26?

Volume:
$34,180

ChatGPT

 - Polymarket

ChatGPT - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 26, 2026

Closed: Jun 26, 7:59 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,577
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Claude by Anthropic

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

FIFA World Cup 2026

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,079
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

FOX One: Live News, Sports, TV

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,234
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Peacock TV: Stream TV & Movies

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fubo: Watch Live TV & Sports

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Love Island USA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the US App Store #2 ranking market dashboard displays real-time odds on whether a specific app will claim the #2 Free App position in the US Apple App Store on June 26. The interface shows current market pricing, historical price movements, and trading activity. You can monitor the 24-hour volume of $32,905 alongside total liquidity of $34,180 to gauge trader interest and market depth. This live data helps you track how sentiment shifts as new information emerges about app performance and competitive positioning.

Prediction markets like this one aggregate real-money bets from traders with skin in the game, often producing forecasts that differ meaningfully from traditional analyst reports or media commentary. While analysts may rely on historical app store trends, download velocity, or marketing spend, market participants price in live signals—user reviews, app updates, competitive moves, and organic momentum. This market reflects collective trader conviction about which app will land in the #2 slot, offering a dynamic alternative to static forecasts that may lag behind rapidly changing conditions in the mobile app ecosystem.

This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the June 26 rankings are finalized and verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by checking the official US Apple App Store free apps ranking on that date and confirming which app holds the #2 position. Resolution hinges on a straightforward factual check against the app store's published data, with no ambiguity about the ranking itself. Traders should monitor app store performance in the days leading up to the deadline to assess shifting competitive dynamics.

Several catalysts could shift odds before Jun 26, 2026. Major app updates, viral social media moments, or press coverage can drive download surges and ranking changes overnight. Competitor launches or aggressive marketing campaigns may reshape the top-10 landscape. App store algorithm tweaks, seasonal trends, or changes in user behavior also influence rankings. Real-time ranking data from third-party tracking services often signals momentum shifts before official rankings update. Traders typically watch daily ranking snapshots, user review sentiment, and app store feature placements to anticipate moves in this market.