TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?
polymarket

#2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 14?

Volume:
$3,540

TikTok Pro - Events

 - Polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 14, 5:08 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

TikTok Pro - Events

View
100%
41%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

ChatGPT

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ParentSquare

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$598
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Capital One Mobile

View
0%
40%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace

View
0%
91%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$312
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Depop - Buy & Sell Clothes

View
0%
86%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Threads

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

App F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $2,074 for the #2 US free app market. It shows how traders on this single venue are pricing the likelihood of different apps claiming the #2 spot in the US Apple App Store's free category on the target date. The view reflects only Polymarket activity, with no aggregation from other sources.

Compared to analyst forecasts, this market’s odds may diverge based on real-time trader sentiment and short-term app performance trends. Analysts often focus on longer-term metrics and broader market conditions, while traders react quickly to news, updates, or user behavior shifts. As a result, this market can offer a more immediate, crowd-sourced perspective on which app might occupy the #2 position, potentially highlighting surprises not yet reflected in traditional forecasts.

This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official Apple App Store charts for the specified date, identifying which app ranks #2 among free applications in the US. Until then, the market remains open for trading based on evolving expectations.

Several signals could shift this market before resolution: major app updates or marketing campaigns, significant changes in user downloads or ratings, new competitor releases, or any widespread media coverage that influences public interest. Additionally, technical issues affecting app availability or chart rankings could also cause rapid movements in trading activity and odds on Polymarket as traders react to new information.