TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 2:19 PM EST
Kalshi
In a 3-ball golf competition format, three players compete together during a single round, with the player posting the lowest score declared the winner of that grouping. This market covers the first round of the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open featuring Antoine Rozner, Max Greyserman, and Taehoon Ok.
The winner of the 3-ball matchup is determined by the lowest score posted during the first round of the 2026 Genesis Scottish Open. If multiple participants tie for the lowest score, the Yes payout is divided equally among tied participants ($1/N rounded down to the nearest cent, where N equals the number of tied participants), with the No payout adjusted accordingly. Any golfer who withdraws prior to teeing off will result in all markets resolving to fair market value.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they aggregate real-time trader sentiment rather than relying solely on oddsmakers' models. On this market, traders continuously adjust prices based on player form, recent performance, and emerging news, which can lead to faster price discovery than conventional betting venues. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is pricing in factors that sportsbooks have overlooked or underweighted, making prediction markets a useful barometer of informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective assessment of participants, with bids and asks converging toward an equilibrium that balances supply and demand. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, causing the price to move in real time and creating a dynamic, transparent reflection of market expectations.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the 1st Round 3-Ball event concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will be confirmed based on the official tournament record and the final standings of the three players involved. Until that point, traders can continue to adjust their positions as the match unfolds and new developments emerge.
Key catalysts include recent tournament results and player form leading into the event, course conditions and weather forecasts that may favor certain playing styles, and any injury updates or personal circumstances affecting the competitors. Media coverage and expert analysis can also shift trader sentiment if new insights emerge about matchup dynamics or player preparation. Real-time scoring during the match itself will be the most significant driver, as live results directly influence the probability of each outcome.