TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
Three golfers compete in a 3-ball grouping during the first round of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, with the winner being the golfer who shoots the best score in that grouping.
The winner of each 3-ball matchup is determined by the golfer with the lowest score at the end of the round. If multiple golfers tie for the lowest score within the 3-ball grouping, the Yes payout is divided equally among all tied participants, calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied golfers and rounded down to the nearest cent, with the No payout representing the remainder. Any golfer who withdraws prior to teeing off causes all markets in that grouping to resolve to fair market value.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines because they reflect real-time trader sentiment rather than fixed bookmaker pricing. Sportsbooks adjust odds to manage liability and balance action, while prediction markets aggregate distributed beliefs from many participants. For the Hughes/Weir/Hadwin grouping, you may notice the prediction market prices shift more dynamically as new information emerges closer to Jun 11, 2026. Comparing the two venues helps identify where consensus differs and can highlight value opportunities or consensus breakdowns in how this specific matchup is being priced.
On Kalshi, the 1st Round 3-Ball: Hughes/Weir/Hadwin market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each golfer's outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices reflect the cumulative bids and asks from participants, with each contract's value between 0 and 100 cents corresponding to the implied probability of that outcome. As the event approaches Jun 11, 2026, prices typically tighten and become more volatile as new information surfaces. The market's depth and liquidity on Kalshi determine how easily traders can enter or exit positions in this specific grouping.
The 1st Round 3-Ball: Hughes/Weir/Hadwin market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of the golf tournament's first round, specifically how Hughes, Weir, and Hadwin perform in their assigned grouping. The market will settle based on verified tournament results and the specific performance criteria tied to each contract. Once the round concludes and results are confirmed, the market locks in and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning contracts.
Several factors could shift odds for the Hughes/Weir/Hadwin grouping before Jun 11, 2026. Recent tournament results and form updates for each golfer will influence trader confidence. Course conditions, weather forecasts, and any announced changes to the event setup can trigger repricing. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements involving any of the three players would cause sharp moves. Media coverage highlighting one player's momentum or struggles may also sway sentiment. Additionally, betting patterns and large trades on Kalshi itself can cascade into price adjustments as other traders react to visible order flow.