TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
Three golfers compete in a 3-ball grouping during the first round of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, with the winner being the golfer who shoots the best score in that grouping.
The winner of each 3-ball matchup is determined by the golfer with the lowest score at the end of the round. If multiple golfers tie for the lowest score within the 3-ball grouping, the Yes payout is divided equally among all tied participants, calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied golfers and rounded down to the nearest cent, with the No payout representing the remainder. Any golfer who withdraws prior to teeing off causes all markets in that grouping to resolve to fair market value.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-money trader conviction rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in margin; prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants with direct financial incentives. For the 1st Round 3-Ball: Hoey/Dunlap/Hoge, comparing Kalshi implied probabilities to major sportsbook moneylines can reveal where the two venues disagree on player performance likelihood. Sharper traders may exploit these gaps.
On Kalshi, the 1st Round 3-Ball: Hoey/Dunlap/Hoge market is priced as binary contracts tied to specific outcome conditions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, where the price reflects the market's estimated probability of that outcome occurring. As new information emerges—player form, course conditions, or head-to-head history—share prices adjust in real time. The tighter the bid-ask spread, the more confident and liquid the market consensus.
The 1st Round 3-Ball: Hoey/Dunlap/Hoge market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official result of the three-ball competition involving Hoey, Dunlap, and Hoge in the first round. The market outcome depends on which player achieves the specified winning condition as recorded by the tournament organizer and confirmed through official scoring records. Traders should monitor official leaderboards and announcements as the event date approaches.
Several factors may shift odds for the 1st Round 3-Ball: Hoey/Dunlap/Hoge before Jun 11, 2026. Recent tournament performance and world rankings of Hoey, Dunlap, and Hoge will influence trader sentiment. Course-specific form, weather forecasts, and equipment changes can also matter. Injury announcements or withdrawal news would trigger sharp repricing. Media coverage highlighting head-to-head records or recent matchup results may sway perception. As the event date nears, final practice round scores and official pairings confirmation typically drive late trading activity.