TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:29 PM EST
Kalshi
Three golfers compete in a 3-ball grouping during the first round of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, with the winner being the golfer who shoots the best score in that grouping.
Each market determines the winner of a 3-ball matchup among Emiliano Grillo, Erik Van Rooyen, and Padraig Harrington during the 1st round of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open. The golfer with the best score wins. If multiple golfers tie for the lowest score, payouts are divided equally among tied participants: each Yes payout equals $1 divided by the number of tied golfers (rounded down to nearest cent), with No payout equaling $1 minus the Yes payout. If any golfer withdraws before teeing off, all markets resolve to fair market value. Kalshi is not affiliated with the PGA.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook lines for the Grillo/Van Rooyen/Harrington 3-Ball. Sportsbooks apply margin and adjust for liability, while prediction markets reflect pure trader belief without a built-in spread. Prediction markets may price outcomes more efficiently when informed traders actively participate, though sportsbooks sometimes move faster on breaking news. For this specific grouping, comparing Kalshi prices to major golf sportsbooks reveals whether the market is overvaluing or undervaluing any player relative to professional oddsmakers. Both venues serve different audiences: prediction markets attract analytical traders, while sportsbooks cater to recreational bettors.
On Kalshi, the 1st Round 3-Ball: Grillo/Van Rooyen/Harrington is priced through binary or multi-outcome contracts reflecting trader expectations for each player's performance in this grouping. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Prices move continuously as new information emerges—player injury reports, weather updates, or recent tournament results shift the market. Kalshi's order-book model allows traders to set limit orders, creating transparent bid-ask spreads. The top outcome currently reflects market consensus, though prices remain fluid until resolution at Jun 11, 2026. Traders can enter or exit positions throughout the event window, with pricing adjusting to match real-time supply and demand for exposure to Grillo, Van Rooyen, and Harrington's 3-Ball performance.
The market resolves at Jun 11, 2026, marking the conclusion of the 1st Round 3-Ball competition involving Grillo, Van Rooyen, and Harrington. Resolution is determined by official tournament scoring and results published by the governing body. The outcome reflects each player's performance during their round together, with specific metrics tied to the market's contract terms. Once the round concludes and scores are finalized, the market settles based on the predetermined resolution criteria. Traders should monitor official tournament communications and leaderboards as the event date approaches to stay informed on any scheduling changes or developments affecting the final outcome.
Several catalysts could shift prices for the Grillo/Van Rooyen/Harrington 3-Ball before Jun 11, 2026. Player injuries or withdrawals would immediately reprrice the market, as would sudden weather changes affecting course difficulty. Recent tournament results and form trends for each golfer influence trader sentiment. Course-specific strengths—such as a player's history on this layout—may trigger repricing as the event nears. Equipment or caddie changes can signal confidence shifts. Media coverage and expert commentary may sway retail traders. Practice-round performance and official tee-time confirmations often generate trading activity. Any regulatory or administrative updates from the tournament organizer could also impact pricing. Traders monitor all these signals to adjust positions ahead of the 1st Round.