TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:39 PM EST
Kalshi
Three golfers compete in a 3-ball grouping during the first round of the 2026 RBC Canadian Open, with the winner being the golfer who shoots the best score in that grouping.
The winner of each 3-ball matchup is determined by the golfer with the lowest score at the end of the round. If multiple golfers tie for the lowest score within the 3-ball grouping, the Yes payout is divided equally among all tied participants, calculated as $1 divided by the number of tied golfers and rounded down to the nearest cent, with the No payout representing the remainder. Any golfer who withdraws prior to teeing off causes all markets in that grouping to resolve to fair market value.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often reflect different risk appetites and participant bases than traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks employ professional oddsmakers focused on balancing liability, prediction markets aggregate distributed trader beliefs in real time. For the Campbell/Noren/Davis 3-ball, comparing Kalshi probabilities to major sportsbook lines can reveal where public sentiment diverges from professional consensus. Prediction markets may price outcomes more efficiently when retail sportsbook action is skewed, or conversely, may lag behind sharp sportsbook adjustments. Monitoring both venues helps identify value opportunities and understand broader market sentiment.
On Kalshi, the 1st Round 3-Ball: Campbell/Noren/Davis is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell outcome shares. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each player outcome trades as a separate contract, with prices reflecting the cumulative probability assigned by active traders. Prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, where higher prices indicate stronger market belief in that outcome. Liquidity and spreads vary based on trading volume and participant interest. As new tournament information surfaces—player form, course conditions, weather updates—prices adjust dynamically to reflect changing expectations about performance in this specific grouping.
The 1st Round 3-Ball: Campbell/Noren/Davis market resolves on Jun 11, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official tournament results for this specific grouping during the first round of play. The market settles based on which player achieves the designated outcome criteria—typically the lowest score, highest score, or other performance metric specified in the market terms. Once the round concludes and official scoring is confirmed, the market locks and payouts are distributed accordingly to winning traders.
Several factors can shift odds for the Campbell/Noren/Davis 3-ball before Jun 11, 2026. Recent player form and tournament results provide strong signals about competitive readiness. Course conditions, weather forecasts, and pin placements released closer to the event influence scoring expectations. Injury announcements or withdrawal news involving any of the three players would trigger sharp repricing. Betting syndicates and professional traders entering the market with large positions can move prices significantly. Media coverage highlighting player momentum or historical performance at this venue may sway retail sentiment. Real-time updates during practice rounds and pre-tournament press conferences also catalyze market adjustments.