TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Taylor Swift's 1989 - Taylor's Version will accumulate more than 30.1 million streams globally during the May 22–28 tracking week, as measured by Luminate. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 94.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Luminate streaming data for that specific week, with results expected by June 1, 2026. The outcome hinges on streaming performance during the designated May 22–28 tracking period.
The market resolves on Jun 1, 2026. Resolution is determined by official Luminate streaming data for 1989 - Taylor's Version during the May 22–28 measurement window. The outcome hinges on whether cumulative streams reach or exceed 30,106,864 during that specific seven-day period. Luminate data serves as the authoritative source, ensuring an objective, verifiable resolution tied to actual streaming performance rather than subjective interpretation.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of the exact streaming release date, playlist placements on major platforms like Spotify and Apple Music, social media momentum and fan engagement levels, and any surprise promotional announcements from Taylor Swift or her label. Chart performance of other recent releases, competing entertainment events, and real-time streaming data leaks during the May 22–28 window will all influence trader expectations. Early streaming numbers and media coverage intensity in the final days before resolution could trigger significant price movement as the market refines its probability estimate.