TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 2:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the number of goals scored during the standard playing time of a soccer match between 1860 Munich and Kiel. The focus is solely on goals scored within the 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, excluding any goals that might occur during extra time or penalty shootouts. Outcomes depend on whether the total goals meet specific thresholds.
The event evaluates whether the total number of goals scored by both teams combined in the 1860 Munich vs Kiel DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 22, 2026, exceeds various thresholds during regulation time. Regulation time includes the 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time added by the referee, but explicitly excludes any goals scored during extra time or penalty shootouts. Each market corresponds to a different threshold: 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the cumulative goals scored by both teams surpass the respective threshold at any point during regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. All markets share the same secondary disclaimer stating that Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect the aggregated beliefs of active traders, often diverging from traditional sportsbook lines due to real-time adjustments and specialized participant insights. While sportsbooks set fixed odds based on broader analytics and risk management, this market’s prices shift dynamically with trading volume and can reveal sharper or alternative expectations for the match outcome.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through buying and selling contracts, with the current top outcome reflecting the majority view. The market’s probability distribution adjusts based on trading volume and any new information about team performance, injuries, or weather conditions that might affect the total number of goals scored.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match concludes and the official total goals are verified against credible public sources. The result is determined purely by the regulation time score, without any adjustments for extra time or other post-match events.
Injuries to key players, weather updates affecting match conditions, or recent performance trends for either team could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant changes in betting volume on Kalshi—driven by news or analysis—may cause price adjustments as traders react to new information ahead of the match.