TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 2:07 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between 1860 Munich and Kiel, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regular time. The result is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different winning margins for both teams in the 1860 Munich vs Kiel DFB Pokal match scheduled for August 22, 2026, considering only regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Four distinct outcomes are possible: 1860 Munich winning by more than 2.5 goals, 1860 Munich winning by more than 1.5 goals, Kiel winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Kiel winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets are independent, and the event exclusively considers the standard match duration, with no account for extra time or penalty phases. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the price through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic market that adjusts throughout the event’s lead-up. The current top outcome reflects the collective assessment of participants, with volume of $10,604 indicating interest levels. This pricing mechanism allows for rapid responses to new information as the match approaches.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match statistics, specifically the goal differential between the two teams during regulation time, and is reflected accordingly once the data is publicly available.
Injuries to key players, weather forecasts, and tactical changes by coaches could all shift this market as Aug 22, 2026 approaches. High-profile performances in prior matches, disciplinary actions, or even shifts in betting trends may influence trader sentiment. Any news affecting either team's form or morale in the days leading up to the game can cause rapid adjustments in odds on Kalshi.