TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

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Kalshi:

61%

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100 Thieves vs. Spacestation Gaming
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What is the result of 100 Thieves vs. Spacestation Gaming?

Volume:
$15,512

100 Thieves

 - Kalshi

100 Thieves - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 18, 2026

Closed: Sep 18, 3:09 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

100 Thieves

View
100%
7%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,192
N/A
N/A
$5,993
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Spacestation Gaming

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,320
N/A
N/A
$5,211
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market focuses on the outcome of a specific Rainbow Six Siege match between two professional esports teams scheduled for September 18, 2026. The result depends on which team secures a victory in their broader league stage, influencing the resolution of this particular contest. The market accounts for various scenarios if the match itself is altered or not played as scheduled.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team, 100 Thieves or Spacestation Gaming, wins the North America League Stage 2 2026, specifically affecting their Rainbow Six Siege match scheduled for September 18, 2026, at 2:00 PM EDT. If either team achieves this league-stage victory, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the scheduled match is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited prior to any play, the market resolves to the fair market price. If the match begins but is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome declared by the governing league or tournament organizer. Kalshi clarifies it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the 100 Thieves vs. Spacestation Gaming match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is $15,201 and total volume is $15,512. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity in real-time. The dashboard provides a visual representation of how the market is evolving, reflecting the collective predictions of participants on Kalshi regarding the outcome of this esports contest. It's a central hub for understanding the market's dynamics and potential shifts.

Prediction market odds often differ from those found at sportsbooks, reflecting the wisdom of the crowd versus the assessments of professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their beliefs, potentially identifying mispriced probabilities. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information access, biases, or simply a wider range of perspectives contributing to the prediction market's price discovery process. It's common to see this market adjust rapidly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts, potentially offering opportunities for informed traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the 100 Thieves vs. Spacestation Gaming match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, signaling a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and converge towards a collective prediction about the match's result.

This market resolves around Sep 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the 100 Thieves vs. Spacestation Gaming match, as declared by the governing body of the esports league. The platform will verify the result against publicly available and trusted sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will be paid out according to the market price at resolution.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 18, 2026. News regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes could all influence trader sentiment. Major upsets in other matches leading up to the event, or announcements about potential rule changes, could also shift probabilities. Even social media buzz and public opinion, if widespread, can impact trading activity. Any information that alters perceptions of the 100 Thieves’ or Spacestation Gaming’s chances of winning is likely to cause fluctuations in the market price.