TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 9, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
100 Thieves and M80 face off in a Rainbow Six Siege match on July 9, 2026. The result impacts their standings in the North America League Stage 1 2026 competition.
Resolution is determined by the winner of the North America League Stage 1 2026 Rainbow Six Siege match between 100 Thieves and M80 scheduled for July 9, 2026 at 2:00 PM EDT. The team that wins this match resolves their corresponding market outcome to Yes.
Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price events differently. Sportsbooks set odds based on their risk management and profit margins, while prediction markets derive prices from continuous trader participation and supply-demand dynamics. This market reflects aggregated trader beliefs rather than a bookmaker's line. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and casual traders diverge in their assessment of the matchup, though each venue operates independently with distinct rules and liquidity.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders submit bids and asks for shares representing each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the highest buy order and lowest sell order at any given moment, creating a dynamic equilibrium. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their positions, moving the price up or down. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to changing expectations about the match result.
This market resolves around Jul 9, 2026, once the match concludes and the result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome will reflect which team wins the competition according to official esports league records or tournament documentation. Resolution occurs after the event is finalized and confirmed, ensuring accuracy before payouts are distributed to winning traders.
Several catalysts could shift odds before the match takes place. Roster changes, player injuries, or roster announcements from either team would likely trigger significant repricing. Recent tournament results, head-to-head records, and performance trends in the weeks leading up to the event also influence trader positioning. Media coverage, expert analysis, and betting patterns on other platforms can amplify momentum. Any official statements about format changes or scheduling adjustments could also move the market as traders reassess their edge.