TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 1:02 PM EST
Polymarket
Don't Chart (from GTAVI: The Album) - Cardi B, Grand Theft Auto VI
Description
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled October 16. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 16 by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled October 16. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 16 by October 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in a song reaching the top spot. As more people buy shares in a particular song, its price increases, reflecting a higher implied probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that song being number one, allowing traders to express their views and profit if their prediction proves correct. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and sentiment.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Spotify charts are published and the number one song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the song that holds the top position on the official Spotify charts at the time of resolution. The resolution process relies on publicly available data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final result.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before resolution. A major artist collaboration, a viral trend on platforms like TikTok, or prominent placement in popular playlists could all boost a song’s chances. Unexpected radio play or increased streaming numbers following a public appearance could also influence trading activity. Conversely, negative publicity or a competing song gaining traction could decrease a song’s probability. Monitoring social media trends, streaming data, and music industry news will be key to understanding potential shifts in this market.
