TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 1:31 PM EST
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 21. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 21 by August 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 21. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 21 by August 22, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
On Polymarket, the current probability reflects trader sentiment more than traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts might highlight chart patterns or social media trends, this market’s odds are set purely by buyer-seller activity. The gap between these two can widen if unexpected releases or viral moments occur before Aug 21, 2026. Traders often react faster to real-time signals than published reports, making this market a live barometer of crowd conviction rather than expert prediction.
This market resolves around Aug 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner is determined by the official Spotify chart for that week, matching the real-world #1 song as reported by the platform.
Several real-world signals could shift this market before Aug 21, 2026. Major playlist placements, celebrity endorsements, or viral challenges often boost a song’s momentum overnight. Conversely, negative press or a competing release dropping the same day may pull support away. Real-time streaming spikes—especially on Spotify itself—can also cause rapid re-pricing as traders react to early leadership in the weekly countdown.