TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Entertainment
#1 Spotify song this week? (August 14)
kalshi
polymarket

#1 Spotify song this week? (August 14)

Volume:
$61,499

KALYANI (Remix)

 - Kalshi

KALYANI (Remix) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 14, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

KALYANI (Remix)

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$18,430
N/A
N/A
$17,123
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Golden

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,091
N/A
N/A
$1,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Tera Mera Rishta Continues (Film Ballad)| Awarapan 2| Emraan, Disha| Mithoon, Saaj, Sayeed, Mustafa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,265
N/A
N/A
$1,065
Settled
No
kalshi

Shararat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,994
N/A
N/A
$2,994
Settled
No
kalshi

Basinga Balaalu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,903
N/A
N/A
$2,903
Settled
No
kalshi

Dai Dai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,702
N/A
N/A
$2,052
Settled
No
kalshi

Life Goes On

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,666
N/A
N/A
$1,666
Settled
No
kalshi

Bairan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,389
N/A
N/A
$2,389
Settled
No
kalshi

Todo Lo Fue

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,252
N/A
N/A
$1,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Jaiye Sajana

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,135
N/A
N/A
$1,135
Settled
No
kalshi

Barbaadi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,765
N/A
N/A
$1,689
Settled
No
kalshi

เพราะพี่รักจริง

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,518
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Sunflower

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,235
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Waka Waka

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,054
N/A
N/A
$1,054
Settled
No
kalshi

Si Antes Te Hubiera Conocido

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
polymarket

Babydoll - Dominic Fike

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$702
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SWIM - BTS

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$656
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Beauty and a Beat - Justin Bieber ft. Nicki Minaj

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$649
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Petal - Ariana Grande

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$621
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Earrings - Malcolm Todd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$578
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Billie Jean - Michael Jackson

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 33

Description

This event group tracks which song will be the #1 most streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 14, 2026. The markets resolve based on Spotify's official weekly top songs chart.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Settlement Source Divergence / Scope MismatchHero tip: Avoid arbitrage between these markets as they measure fundamentally different platforms and metrics. Focus on Spotify data for Polymarket and YouTube data for Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 14. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 14 by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to Other. Resolution source: official information from Spotify.
  • Kalshi: Resolves if specific songs rank #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart dated Aug 11, 2026. Each market only resolves to Yes if its specific song is ranked #2 on that date, otherwise it resolves to No.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled August 14. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 14 by August 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Kalshi

The event determines whether any of the listed music videos ranks #2 on YouTube Charts’ Daily Top Music Videos Global chart for August 11, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific song or track. If the designated track for a given market occupies the second position on the specified chart for that date, the market resolves positively (Yes). All markets operate independently, meaning the outcome for one does not affect the others. Each rule shares identical secondary language clarifying that YouTube has not endorsed these markets or products, and any references to YouTube are purely descriptive, with no implied affiliation or endorsement from YouTube.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the weekly #1 Spotify song market aggregates predictions from multiple venues, showing real-time probabilities and volume across platforms. It visualizes how traders on different prediction markets price the likelihood of various songs claiming the top spot this week. The view combines data points such as total volume of $61,499 and recent 24-hour volume of $29,944, offering a consensus indicator of crowd-sourced expectations for this week’s chart leader.