TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 12:16 PM EST
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled September 25. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled September 25 by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled September 25. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled September 25 by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Currently, comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights. While some analysts may predict a certain song will reach number one based on streaming numbers and radio play, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If there’s a significant difference between what experts are saying and how this market is priced, it could indicate that traders have access to information or perspectives not fully captured in traditional analysis. It’s a dynamic comparison, constantly shifting as new data emerges and opinions evolve.
This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the #1 song on the US Spotify charts will be determined by Spotify’s official data for the week ending September 25th. The market will settle based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official Spotify charts as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. A sudden surge in streams for a particular song, perhaps driven by a viral TikTok trend or a major artist endorsement, could dramatically shift the odds. Unexpected radio play or inclusion in popular playlists could also impact a song's trajectory. Furthermore, the release of a highly anticipated new song from a major artist could disrupt the current leaderboard and introduce a new frontrunner in this market.