TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Entertainment
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (September 25)
polymarket

What song will be #1 on Spotify?

Volume:
$20,130

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

 - Polymarket

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 12:16 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,781
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,240
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

the cure - Olivia Rodrigo

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$731
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Earrings - Malcolm Todd

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$668
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Last Thing You Need - Morgan Wallen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$623
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Bass Persuades - Miley Cyrus

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 15

Description

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled September 25. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled September 25 by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Polymarket

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled September 25. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled September 25 by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the US Spotify #1 song market tracks the current odds of various songs being at the top of the charts. You can see the implied probability for each potential outcome, the total volume traded – currently $20,130 – and the 24-hour trading volume, which is $1,187. This allows traders to monitor market sentiment and activity related to which song will claim the number one spot. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades are placed on Polymarket.

Currently, comparing prediction market odds to analyst forecasts reveals interesting insights. While some analysts may predict a certain song will reach number one based on streaming numbers and radio play, this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. If there’s a significant difference between what experts are saying and how this market is priced, it could indicate that traders have access to information or perspectives not fully captured in traditional analysis. It’s a dynamic comparison, constantly shifting as new data emerges and opinions evolve.

This market resolves around Sep 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the #1 song on the US Spotify charts will be determined by Spotify’s official data for the week ending September 25th. The market will settle based on this publicly available information, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor official Spotify charts as the resolution date approaches to stay informed.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before it resolves. A sudden surge in streams for a particular song, perhaps driven by a viral TikTok trend or a major artist endorsement, could dramatically shift the odds. Unexpected radio play or inclusion in popular playlists could also impact a song's trajectory. Furthermore, the release of a highly anticipated new song from a major artist could disrupt the current leaderboard and introduce a new frontrunner in this market.