TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 5:31 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 23. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 23 by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs in the U.S. and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled October 23. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled October 23 by October 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The Weekly Top Songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Frequently asked questions
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous trading mechanism where users buy and sell shares representing their belief in a song becoming the #1 US song on Spotify. The price of each share reflects the probability of that outcome, as determined by supply and demand. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders believe a song will reach the top, the higher the share price will climb. This creates a liquid market where participants can express and profit from their predictions about the weekly music charts.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official Spotify US charts are published and the #1 song is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will reflect the song that holds the top position on the Spotify US charts at the time of resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the winning outcome, based on publicly available data. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on their holdings in the market.
Several signals and events could significantly move this market before resolution. A major promotional push for a song, such as a viral TikTok trend or a high-profile performance, could increase its streaming numbers and boost its odds. Unexpected releases from popular artists could also shift the landscape, challenging the current frontrunners. Furthermore, changes in listener preferences or the emergence of a new hit song could all influence trading activity and alter the probabilities reflected in this market. Monitoring streaming data and social media trends will be key to understanding potential shifts.
