TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (August 7)
kalshi
polymarket

#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (August 7)

Volume:
$83,733

Above 5.25M

 - Kalshi

Above 5.25M - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 7, 2026

Closed: Aug 11, 9:49 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above 5.25M

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$23,244
N/A
N/A
$13,470
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 5M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,034
N/A
N/A
$4,468
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,725
N/A
N/A
$2,365
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.75M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,710
N/A
N/A
$2,613
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.25M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,377
N/A
N/A
$1,477
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 4.5M

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,068
N/A
N/A
$2,068
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Petal - Ariana Grande

View
100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,373
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above 6M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14,699
N/A
N/A
$10,876
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.75M

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,665
N/A
N/A
$5,222
Settled
No
kalshi

Above 5.5M

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,320
N/A
N/A
$4,364
Settled
No
polymarket

hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Stupid Song - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$980
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Been By Now - Morgan Wallen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$726
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

the cure - Olivia Rodrigo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$712
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Earrings - Malcolm Todd

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$475
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Song I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This event group tracks which song will be the #1 most streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled August 7, 2026. The markets resolve based on Spotify's official weekly top songs chart for the U.S. released each Friday.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve based on the same primary source: Spotify's official weekly top songs chart for the U.S.Primary resolution logic: Spotify's official weekly top songs chart for the U.S. (open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading)

Core resolution logic:

  • The market resolves according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled August 7.
  • If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 7 by August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market defaults to "Other".

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Spotify Data Delay: If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 7 by August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, all markets resolve to "Other".
Timing: Resolution occurs after Spotify releases its weekly top songs chart for the U.S. on or before August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled August 7. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled August 7 by August 8, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Kalshi

The event evaluates whether Morgan Wallen achieves specified thresholds of global daily YouTube views within the week of August 3-9, 2026. Multiple markets exist, each corresponding to a different view-count threshold (ranging from above 4M to above 6M). For any market, if Wallen’s global daily views exceed the respective threshold on any day during the period, that market resolves to Yes. View counts are verified through YouTube Charts by searching for the artist and selecting the Global location. Note that YouTube has not endorsed these markets, and references to YouTube are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this market is priced through trader sentiment rather than traditional analyst reports, which can diverge sharply. While analysts might highlight streaming trends or artist promotions, prediction markets reflect real-time betting interest and can price in rapid shifts like viral moments or surprise releases. Because this market centers on immediate listener behavior rather than long-term projections, odds may appear more volatile than typical media forecasts, especially with volume at $83,733 backing rapid swings.

Key signals include last-week streaming spikes, surprise collaborations, or high-profile performances that drive user engagement right before the chart week closes. Social media trends, playlist placements, and even concert announcements can shift this market rapidly, especially with overall volume at $83,733. Any event that pushes a song into viral earworms or gains playlist momentum in the final days may dramatically alter odds, so watching real-time streaming metrics is crucial.