TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 31, 2:38 PM EST
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled July 31. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled July 31 by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song globally on Spotify for the week labeled July 31. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled July 31 by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced outlook because traders can react instantly to streaming numbers, social media trends, and media coverage. While analysts may issue weekly rankings based on past performance, prediction market odds incorporate real-time betting activity and can shift dramatically with new releases or viral moments.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the price for this market by placing bets on which song will be the chart-topping hit, with the odds adjusting based on supply and demand. The current implied chance for the leading outcome reflects the market’s view of its likelihood, while the volume of $12,474 indicates overall interest and liquidity as the week progresses toward Jul 31, 2026.
This market resolves around Jul 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official chart rankings are verified against credible public sources. The winning contract will match the song that debuts at the top position for the week in question, closing the market and determining payouts for all participants.
Key signals that could shift this market include major radio station playlists adding a track, a high-profile artist’s social media post promoting their new release, unexpected chart rule changes, or a surprise collaboration that gains rapid streaming momentum. Any development that alters public perception or streaming numbers has the potential to reshape trader expectations before Jul 31, 2026.