TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 26. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 26 by June 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Spotify curates a playlist of the most streamed songs globally and updates it on Fridays to reflect streaming data for the previous week, beginning on the preceding Friday and ending on Thursday. This market will resolve according to the most-streamed song in the U.S. on Spotify for the week labeled June 26. If Spotify does not release its top song for the week labeled June 26 by June 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify. The weekly top songs - USA chart can be found on open.spotify.com under the "Charts" heading.
Prediction market odds aggregate the collective judgment of traders betting real money on outcomes, often diverging from traditional analyst predictions or chart forecasts. While music industry analysts may rely on streaming velocity, radio play, and historical patterns, this market reflects what informed traders actually expect will top Spotify's US chart. Comparing the implied probabilities here to music media forecasts can reveal where consensus differs or where traders see an edge that conventional analysis has missed.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, once the official US Spotify chart for the week is published and verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which song holds the #1 position on that chart. Traders holding shares in the winning song receive their payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. The resolution hinges entirely on Spotify's official weekly ranking data, making this a straightforward event-based market.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market. A surprise viral moment or celebrity endorsement could boost a song's streaming velocity. Chart performance from competing weeks, radio airplay announcements, or playlist placements on major Spotify editorial playlists all influence real-world chart position and trader expectations. Industry news, streaming data leaks, or unexpected chart debuts can trigger rapid repricing. Traders also react to social media momentum and fan engagement signals that historically correlate with chart success.