TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026?
kalshi

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Jul 11, 2026?

Volume:
$26,421

GOLDEN HOUR : PART.5

 - Kalshi

GOLDEN HOUR : PART.5 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 5, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

GOLDEN HOUR : PART.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,838
N/A
N/A
$12,384
Settled
Yes
kalshi

you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,008
N/A
N/A
$5,539
Settled
No
kalshi

ARIRANG

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,496
N/A
N/A
$1,496
Settled
No
kalshi

ICEMAN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,025
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
kalshi

Dear God

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,000
N/A
N/A
$1,000
Settled
No
kalshi

Bad Single Cd

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$640
N/A
N/A
$640
Settled
No
kalshi

RELOAD

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$128
N/A
N/A
$128
Settled
No
kalshi

Banks of Trinity

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

BROWN

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$94
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

The Art of Loving

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$60
N/A
N/A
$60
Settled
No
kalshi

The Great Divide

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
kalshi

Stick Season

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12
N/A
N/A
$12
Settled
No
kalshi

DANDELION

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

I'm The Problem

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Thriller

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Number Ones

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

One Thing At A Time

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

DeBÍ TiRAR MáS FOToS

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

OCTANE

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

SOS

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dangerous: The Double Album

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KPop Demon Hunters

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Rumours

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

KILL THE KING

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

ML2

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 26

Description

This market tracks which album will hold the #1 position on the Billboard 200 albums chart for the week ending July 11, 2026. The Billboard 200 is the primary weekly ranking of the most popular albums in the United States based on sales, streaming, and other consumption metrics.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by the official Billboard 200 chart published for the week of July 11, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific album; the market resolves Yes for whichever album achieves the #1 ranking on that date. Billboard and its associated marks are referenced descriptively and do not indicate endorsement or affiliation with this market.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Billboard 200 #1 album market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movements for this prediction market centered on which album will claim the top spot on the Billboard 200 chart for the week of July 11, 2026. The interface displays current implied probabilities, 24-hour trading volume, and a price history chart so traders can monitor how sentiment shifts as the chart date approaches. This market aggregates trader conviction about album releases, streaming momentum, and industry forecasts into a single price discovery mechanism.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional music industry analyst forecasts because traders incorporate real-time information, fan sentiment, and pre-order data that may not yet be reflected in published predictions. While analysts typically release forecasts weeks in advance based on historical patterns and label expectations, this market allows continuous repricing as new signals emerge—chart positioning rumors, streaming previews, or competing releases. The gap between the two can reveal where the crowd sees hidden value or where conventional wisdom may be outdated.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects the implied probability that a given album will reach number one, with prices ranging from near zero to near 100 cents. As traders place bids and asks, the market price adjusts in real time, allowing both speculators and information-holders to express their views on which release will dominate the chart.

This market resolves around Jul 15, 2026, once the Billboard 200 chart for the week of July 11, 2026 is officially published and verified. The outcome is confirmed against credible public sources, and the winning album—the one ranked number one on that specific chart—determines which shares pay out. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Major catalysts include surprise album announcements from top artists, streaming performance data, pre-order numbers, and competing release schedules. Chart-adjacent events like Grammy nominations, viral moments, or celebrity endorsements can shift trader expectations overnight. Industry news—label strategies, tour announcements, or production delays—may also reshape the competitive landscape. As the chart week approaches, leaked chart positions or radio play reports typically drive the most volatile repricing in this market.