TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg
Volume:
$845,441
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, April 12, 2026 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and SC Freiburg.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 12, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus may be used.Core resolution logic:
- The match outcome is determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: Mainz wins (resolves YES on Mainz market, NO on Freiburg and draw markets), Freiburg wins (resolves YES on Freiburg market, NO on Mainz and draw markets), or draw (resolves YES on draw market, NO on Mainz and Freiburg markets).
- If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
- If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Mainz and Freiburg win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played and completed.
- Cancellation Without Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no rescheduled make-up game, the Mainz win and Freiburg win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
- Resolution Timing: Official Bundesliga statistics are the primary source. If not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting sources may be used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official Bundesliga announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or upon consensus credible reporting if official statistics are not published within 2 hours post-match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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