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405,232

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2,693

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5

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1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace
polymarket
kalshi

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace

Volume:
$714,513

Mainz

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 10, 2026

Closed: Apr 9, 6:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Mainz

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$114,223
N/A
N/A
$71,696
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FSV Mainz 05

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$62,676
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$411,904
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$30,080
N/A
N/A
$23,888
Settled
No
polymarket

RC Strasbourg Alsace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$53,331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Strasbourg Alsace

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,299
N/A
N/A
$27,413
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional Conference League soccer match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RC Strasbourg Alsace scheduled for April 9, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a draw, a Strasbourg win, or a Mainz win, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Resolution depends on official match statistics from UEFA or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayed.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 9, 2026, with identical scope (regular play only, no extra time or penalties) and shared resolution sources (official governing body statistics or credible reporting consensus).Primary resolution logic: Official UEFA statistics and match records; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensus

Core resolution logic:

  • Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
  • Exactly one of three outcomes will occur: Mainz win, Strasbourg win, or draw.
  • Polymarket's three binary markets (Mainz win, Strasbourg win, draw) will have exactly one YES resolution and two NO resolutions.
  • Kalshi's three markets (Mainz wins, Strasbourg wins, Tie) will have exactly one YES resolution.
  • If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets do not resolve (cancellation is not a match outcome).

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Both platforms keep all markets open until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
  • Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: Polymarket draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule); Mainz and Strasbourg win markets resolve NO. Kalshi has no explicit cancellation clause and would not resolve under this scenario.
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If UEFA does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms fall back to credible reporting consensus (news outlets, official league sources).
Timing: Resolution occurs upon official match completion and publication of final statistics by UEFA or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.