TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace
Description
This event group covers a professional Conference League soccer match between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and RC Strasbourg Alsace scheduled for April 9, 2026. The markets assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: a draw, a Strasbourg win, or a Mainz win, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). Resolution depends on official match statistics from UEFA or credible reporting consensus if official data is delayed.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Primary resolution logic:
Official UEFA statistics and match records; if unavailable within 2 hours post-match, credible reporting consensusCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
- Exactly one of three outcomes will occur: Mainz win, Strasbourg win, or draw.
- Polymarket's three binary markets (Mainz win, Strasbourg win, draw) will have exactly one YES resolution and two NO resolutions.
- Kalshi's three markets (Mainz wins, Strasbourg wins, Tie) will have exactly one YES resolution.
- If the match is postponed, both platforms keep markets open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets do not resolve (cancellation is not a match outcome).
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Both platforms keep all markets open until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation Without Make-Up: Polymarket draw market resolves YES (per explicit rule); Mainz and Strasbourg win markets resolve NO. Kalshi has no explicit cancellation clause and would not resolve under this scenario.
- Delayed Official Statistics: If UEFA does not publish final statistics within 2 hours of match conclusion, both platforms fall back to credible reporting consensus (news outlets, official league sources).
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official match completion and publication of final statistics by UEFA or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours post-match.Follow the signals, not the noise
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