TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
ChatGPT
- Polymarket
ChatGPT - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved May 30, 2026
Latest in Entertainment
Closed: May 28, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
Intro
This market tracks which app will hold the number one position on the US iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under Free Apps as of 12:00 PM ET on May 29, 2026. On Polymarket, ChatGPT holds 95.3% probability of claiming the top spot, while Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire stands at 3.6%. Resolution will be determined by the live ranking displayed in the Top Free Apps section on the US iOS App Store. Watch the App Store rankings in the days leading up to May 29 to gauge whether any competitor gains significant ground on ChatGPT's dominant position.
Frequently asked questions
The market resolves on May 29, 2026, when the outcome becomes verifiable. Resolution depends on official Apple App Store rankings published on May 29, which determine whether ChatGPT holds the #1 Free App position at that moment. The ranking is based on Apple's algorithm, which factors download volume, user ratings, and engagement over the preceding period. Once the rankings are confirmed, the market settles according to the actual app store data.
Key catalysts include major feature releases or updates from ChatGPT or competing apps, changes in user engagement or download trends, app store algorithm updates, and viral moments driving adoption. Regulatory announcements affecting AI apps, pricing changes, or integration with other platforms could shift competitive dynamics. Marketing campaigns, press coverage, and seasonal usage patterns also influence app store rankings. Traders monitor these signals to adjust positions, causing price movements that reflect evolving expectations about May 29 rankings.
