TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
1. FC Union Berlin vs. VfL Wolfsburg - Halftime Result
Volume:
$933
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Bundesliga game between 1. FC Union Berlin and VfL Wolfsburg, scheduled for April 18, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi resolve based on the halftime result (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the Union Berlin vs Wolfsburg match scheduled for April 18, 2026, with identical outcome definitions: Union Berlin win, draw, or Wolfsburg win.
Primary resolution logic:
Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Bundesliga/DFB); if unavailable within 24 hours, consensus of credible reporting.Core resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the score at the conclusion of the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only.
- Exactly three mutually exclusive outcomes exist: Union Berlin leading (YES on Polymarket Q1), Draw (YES on Polymarket Q3), or Wolfsburg leading (YES on Polymarket Q5 and Kalshi Q1).
- Exactly ONE of the three Polymarket markets will resolve YES; the other two resolve NO.
- Kalshi's single market resolves YES for any of the three outcomes (Union Berlin win, draw, or Wolfsburg win) and NO only if the game is canceled with no make-up.
- If the game is postponed, markets remain open until completion. If canceled entirely with no make-up, Polymarket markets resolve NO and Kalshi resolves NO.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Game Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the game is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Game Cancellation: If the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Polymarket markets resolve NO and Kalshi resolves NO.
- Resolution Source Delay: If official governing body statistics are not published within 24 hours after match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon the conclusion of the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on April 18, 2026, based on official match statistics.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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