TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:50 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks the probability of FC Schalke 04 scoring over 1.5 goals in the second half of their match against 1. FC Union Berlin. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Predict is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on the official final score published on bundesliga.com. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the outcome will be determined by the events occurring during the game on the resolution date of September 11, 2026, which marks the end of the betting period for these markets.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:30 PM ET.
More markets for the Bundesliga game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:30 PM ET.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. The prices for the Union Berlin vs Schalke match on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts different types of traders with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Additionally, the liquidity and trading volume can vary significantly between the two, influencing price discovery. Polymarket might have a larger number of casual bettors, while Predict could attract more sophisticated traders. These differing participant pools and trading dynamics contribute to the observed price discrepancies, even when both platforms are tracking the same underlying event.