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402,751
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Closed: Sep 11, 4:51 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between 1. FC Union Berlin and FC Schalke 04. The market resolves based on the first goal scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with a 'Neither' option if no goal is scored in that timeframe.
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Union Berlin and FC Schalke 04, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin" if 1. FC Union Berlin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Union Berlin and FC Schalke 04, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Union Berlin" if 1. FC Union Berlin are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "FC Schalke 04" if FC Schalke 04 are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while prediction markets aggregate individual predictions. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from expert opinion. While both aim to predict the outcome of the Union Berlin vs Schalke match, the mechanisms and information sources differ, resulting in potentially distinct probabilities. Comparing these odds can provide valuable insights for informed decision-making.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket might attract a different demographic of traders with unique insights into the Union Berlin vs Schalke match, influencing price discovery. Additionally, the 24-hour volume of $2,308 on each platform can affect price sensitivity and liquidity. Differences in market design, such as trading fees or position limits, can also contribute to price divergence. These factors create distinct market dynamics, leading to potentially different probabilities for the same event.