This event group covers a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Union Berlin and Bayer 04 Leverkusen scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being traded: a Union Berlin win, a Leverkusen win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 21, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga match records (bundesliga.com) and standard soccer match statistics
Core resolution logic:
Resolution is based on the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Union Berlin win, Leverkusen win, or draw
Match must occur on the scheduled date of February 21, 2026
If postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
If canceled entirely with no makeup game, Union/Leverkusen win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match result whenever it takes place.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's Union Berlin and Leverkusen win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi's unified outcome structure treats this as a draw outcome.
Scope Exclusion: Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope. Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing:
Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 21, 2026, based on the official Bundesliga final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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