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1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
polymarket
kalshi

1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Volume:
$1,246,489

Union Berlin

 - Kalshi

Union Berlin - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 21, 2026

Closed: Feb 21, 12:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Union Berlin

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$111,599
N/A
N/A
$72,413
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Leverkusen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$325,920
N/A
N/A
$225,708
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$67,637
N/A
N/A
$55,017
Settled
No
polymarket

1. FC Union Berlin

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$138,499
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Union Berlin vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen)

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$354,664
$109,204
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
polymarket

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$493,631
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Bundesliga match between 1. FC Union Berlin and Bayer 04 Leverkusen scheduled for February 21, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being traded: a Union Berlin win, a Leverkusen win, or a draw. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic: official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on February 21, 2026, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official Bundesliga match records (bundesliga.com) and standard soccer match statistics

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time
  • Extra time and penalties are explicitly excluded from resolution scope
  • Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Union Berlin win, Leverkusen win, or draw
  • Match must occur on the scheduled date of February 21, 2026
  • If postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed
  • If canceled entirely with no makeup game, Union/Leverkusen win markets resolve No and draw market resolves Yes

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed to a later date, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played. Resolution then occurs based on the actual match result whenever it takes place.
  • Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket's Union Berlin and Leverkusen win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes. Kalshi's unified outcome structure treats this as a draw outcome.
  • Scope Exclusion: Extra Time and Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalty shootouts from resolution scope. Only the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately after the match concludes on February 21, 2026, based on the official Bundesliga final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage timeOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.