TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 11:57 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Nürnberg and SG Dynamo Dresden, scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Nürnberg" if 1. FC Nürnberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SG Dynamo Dresden" if SG Dynamo Dresden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between 1. FC Nürnberg and SG Dynamo Dresden, scheduled for August 9, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "1. FC Nürnberg" if 1. FC Nürnberg are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SG Dynamo Dresden" if SG Dynamo Dresden are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reveal different insights due to trader sentiment and real-time data analysis. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader historical trends and broader public betting patterns, prediction markets let participants react instantly to new developments like lineup changes or referee decisions. This can create tighter or more volatile pricing, especially as kickoff approaches, reflecting crowd-sourced intelligence rather than institutional modeling.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders collectively set the odds through buying and selling shares tied to each possible outcome. The current top outcome reflects the percentage of shares held by traders betting on that team to score first, adjusted for liquidity and open interest. As match day approaches, injury announcements, tactical shifts, or even weather forecasts can rapidly reshape these probabilities, driving price action that mirrors on-the-ground expertise and speculative sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to put the ball into the opposing goal during regulation time determines the result, with no adjustments for own goals or stoppages. Once the final whistle blows and official match reports are published, the market settles instantly based on the verified scoring sequence.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute injury updates, especially to star strikers or goalkeepers, as well as tactical announcements from coaches that suggest an attacking or defensive approach. Weather warnings for heavy rain or wind may also influence betting, since slippery conditions can affect finishing accuracy. Additionally, early goal momentum during live play — even before the first goal is scored — often triggers rapid odds adjustments as traders react to in-game developments.