TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of 1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden?

Volume:
$244,960

Nuremberg

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 9, 2026

Closed: Aug 9, 9:33 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Nuremberg

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$68,007
N/A
N/A
$48,379
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1. FC Nürnberg

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$63,697
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SG Dynamo Dresden

View
0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,589
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Dresden

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,059
N/A
N/A
$16,924
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,608
N/A
N/A
$7,987
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (1. FC Nürnberg vs. SG Dynamo Dresden)

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,000
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the soccer match between 1. FC Nürnberg and SG Dynamo Dresden scheduled for August 9, 2026, focusing on whether Nürnberg wins, the match ends in a draw, or Dresden wins within regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Fundamental logic conflict between platforms - Polymarket uses mutually exclusive binary outcomes while Kalshi uses a single market that resolves Yes for any outcomeHero tip: Do not place simultaneous trades assuming Kalshi 'Yes' and Polymarket 'No' positions can both resolve favorably, as Kalshi's market structure creates logical inconsistency with Polymarket's design

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets where Nürnberg win, Draw, and Dresden win are treated as distinct and mutually exclusive outcomes. Each market resolves Yes only for its specific outcome.
  • Kalshi: Single market that resolves Yes if Nuremberg wins OR Dresden wins OR the match ends in a draw, effectively creating a 'match will have a result' market rather than distinct outcome markets.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Sunday, August 9, 2026 between 1. FC Nürnberg and SG Dynamo Dresden.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Nuremberg vs Dresden professional Bundesliga 2 soccer game scheduled for Aug 9, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for Nuremberg resolves the Nuremberg market to Yes; a win for Dresden resolves the Dresden market to Yes; a tie resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours away, all markets resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary because each venue attracts distinct trader bases and applies unique liquidity incentives. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Additionally, differing volumes — $244,960 across all platforms versus $244,477 in the last day — influence how rapidly prices adjust. When one platform has deeper liquidity, its odds may appear more stable, while thinner markets can show larger swings from single trades.